Saori Iwanaga
Japan Coast Guard Academy (JCGA), 5-1 Wakaba, Kure, 737-8512, Japan
Pages 24–31
ABSTRACT
I proposed a discrete mathematical SEPIR model for seasonal influenza.
In this study, by examining affection by pre-infectious students in real
data, I found that the first patients were discovered four days after the
consecutive holidays, namely the incubation period passing at our academy.
I show that students are likely to super-spread seasonal influenza by the
day the first patients are discovered. Then, it is effective to strengthen
for seasonal influenza measures within the community especially four days
after the consecutive holidays
Keywords: Epidemic model, Flu, Super-spread, ------Infectivity rate
ARTICLE INFO
Article History
Received 24 November 2021
Accepted 27 June 2022
J-STAGE3105